cross-posted from: https://slrpnk.net/post/7362179
I’m looking to see what coastal areas would be impacted, what regions would get above certain temperatures , etc, we all see sporadic invidual image of these predictions in articles online but I wonder if there’s a tool for that, ideally open source.
EDIT: answers (unsure if O.S.)
https://wcrp-cmip.org/cmip-phase-6-cmip6/
https://en-roads.climateinteractive.org/scenario.html?v=24.6.0
Even better, here’s a direct link to a NASA page discussing the data: https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/150192/tracking-30-years-of-sea-level-rise
Some quotes from the page:
Scientists have found that global mean sea level—shown in the line plot above and below—has risen 10.1 centimeters (3.98 inches) since 1992. Over the past 140 years, satellites and tide gauges together show that global sea level has risen 21 to 24 centimeters (8 to 9 inches).
“With 30 years of data, we can finally see what a huge impact we have on the Earth’s climate,” said Josh Willis, an oceanographer at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory and NASA’s project scientist for Sentinel-6 Michael Freilich. “The rise of sea level caused by human interference with the climate now dwarfs the natural cycles. And it is happening faster and faster every decade.”
The altimetry data also show that the rate of sea level rise is accelerating. Over the course of the 20th century, global mean sea level rose at about 1.5 millimeters per year. By the early 1990s, it was about 2.5 mm per year. Over the past decade, the rate has increased to 3.9 mm (0.15 inches) per year.
While a few millimeters of sea level rise per year may seem small, scientists estimate that every 2.5 centimeters (1 inch) of sea level rise translates into 2.5 meters (8.5 feet) of beachfront lost along the average coast. It also means that high tides and storm surges can rise even higher, bringing more coastal flooding, even on sunny days. In a report issued in February 2022, U.S. scientists concluded that by 2050 sea level along U.S. coastlines could rise between 25 to 30 centimeters (10 to 12 inches) above today’s levels.