• 388 Posts
  • 55 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
cake
Cake day: June 9th, 2023

help-circle




  • Guerillas the Chinese helped founded, have supported and provided arms to have become more successful than they wanted. This development clearly confirms that Chinese are worried the Junta will collapse and Burma will fall into chaos, without a central authority but under disparate armed groups with constantly shifting territories due to rivalries amongst them. They need a central government in control of the country whom they can manipulate in order to implement their strategic interests in and through Burma. It seems their support for guerilla groups have been too successful and the situation is spinning out of their grasp.

    First, we saw China appeal for regional unity in helping bring about stability in Burma 12 days ago, a break from its usual go-alone stance. Now they are blocking border trade that guerillas partially depend on for their revenue to bend them to Chinese will. The Chinese still have more leverage that they haven’t used yet of course. And it is interesting they are also pressuring the Wa who are not active participants in the civil war, but possesses the largest army amongst the guerillas with 30,000 soldiers (bigger than Sweden, Hungary or Portugal).

















  • Reposting my comment in Myanmar here to answer. It isn’t on charm offensive. This situation is interesting because China is the one arming both sides of the conflict. China is the chief arms supplier to the military Junta whose weapons have been killing civilians. It is with Chinese blessing and Chinese weapons that guerilla group Brotherhood Alliance launched its 1027 operation last year that’s been highly successful against the Junta.

    China has in the past gone alone (while rejecting participation of regional and other global powers) in brokering peace in Burma forcing both the Junta and the guerillas to sit down at meetings in southern China without participation of other regional countries. China has been the one meeting with Burma’s current and former dictators in past two months, including Wang’s visit to Myanmar 2 days ago.

    In an about-face, China is now seeking greater regional cooperation in Burma’s internal affairs. It may well be that the situation is spinning out of control for China, and Chinese are worried their strategic interests are now poised to crumble in Myanmar.











  • Your reading comprehension is poor. I made zero point about US power. You keep deflecting the issue of your basic error and minimizing the Chinese aggression against its neighbors. Issue is Chinese expansion and aggression in South China Sea, in the straits of Taiwan and Sea of Japan, and how it’s neighbors are now banding together to prepare for this aggression. Your masters the Chinese are dumb because by making threatening gestures towards its neighbors it’s brought this all on to themselves. They really haven’t been smart, if you can think about. But you are a low level worker at a troll farm, and incapable of thinking.






  • This development indicates the insecurity of current regime leader Min Aung Hlaing who has suffered significant battlefield defeats in recent months including the loss of tourist hub Ngapali beach and the important Ruby-Jade mining town of Mogok just yesterday to anti-junta groups. Former dictator Than Shwe is considered a mentor to Min Aung Hlaing. Than Shwe was the one who placed Min Aung Hlaing as chief of staff of the military. Former president Thein Sein had just returned from a recent official visit to China, weeks after receiving an unusual and publicized visit by Chinese Ambassador to Burma.