A summit of leaders from the BRICS group of major emerging economies kicks off in Brazil Sunday – but without the top leader of its most powerful member.
Are there any insights on what the policy implications of new leadership might be? Or is it less a factional takeover and more a “meet the new manager”?
Xi is losing power because his health is deteriorating
some members of the military loyal to him have been purged
as with the CCP, nothing is transparent, so nothing is predictable
some claim (or maybe hope) “maybe power will be handed to Wang Yang” (who doesn’t seem a fan of iron-fisted central rule), but more likely that is wishful thinking
These are quite recent developments. If you want some updates & insight Lei’s Real Talk - YouTube channel is recommended. Also, consider that all news from China is heavily censored, and “good info” is hard to get by.
We will know late August, when the CCP meets and the shakeup is supposedly going to take place. IMO, the time between now and then is dangerous as Xi might make an extreme act to hold on to power.
Well, here’s me pinning my hopes on your interpretation. A few more moderate leaders in the world would be a gigantic relief after so many years of how things have been going. I mostly grew up the last time the world swung a bit more moderate and would be ecstatic to feel that way again.
Are there any insights on what the policy implications of new leadership might be? Or is it less a factional takeover and more a “meet the new manager”?
Speculation:
Afaik, they’d like a more moderate leader.
These are quite recent developments. If you want some updates & insight Lei’s Real Talk - YouTube channel is recommended. Also, consider that all news from China is heavily censored, and “good info” is hard to get by.
We will know late August, when the CCP meets and the shakeup is supposedly going to take place. IMO, the time between now and then is dangerous as Xi might make an extreme act to hold on to power.
Like an attack on Taiwan?
Exactly.
Is it the case that the “they” that want a more moderate leader are consistent with the “they” that actually get to make the call?
It’s all very complicated and uncertain, and I understand only a bit of it, but basically yes.
Well, here’s me pinning my hopes on your interpretation. A few more moderate leaders in the world would be a gigantic relief after so many years of how things have been going. I mostly grew up the last time the world swung a bit more moderate and would be ecstatic to feel that way again.