We see a rocket being launched, seemingly missfire and blowing up high in the sky, then two explosions, the second one being located near the hospital. The timestamp seem to correspond to the reported time of the bombing.
Moreover the damages don’t look like they are from a detonated military bomb, but rather the result of a weaker explosive. Very little shrapnel damage, tiny impact impact crater, not enough blast damage.
My guess would be the same as those of the IDF side. It looks like a rocket impact.
Now whose rocket was it? I don’t have the means or time to do a trajectory analysis, as to have anything precise enough it would require a second geolocated viewpoint (to be able to triangulate a likely launch position). The best I could do is to determine a general direction for its origin.
I just don’t trust the israelis or the US when it comes to these investigations. The israelis have a truly awful track record of outright lying and making stuff up, and the US affirms whatever they say no matter what.
If the involvement of the IDF is proven. We don’t know the exact truth yet, finding the truth takes time.
On the other hand there is some interesting clue to what happened.
First, this video from that night, from a livestreamed and geolocated position (according to OSINT) :
https://twitter.com/yousuf_tw/status/1714367757968384106
We see a rocket being launched, seemingly missfire and blowing up high in the sky, then two explosions, the second one being located near the hospital. The timestamp seem to correspond to the reported time of the bombing.
Moreover the damages don’t look like they are from a detonated military bomb, but rather the result of a weaker explosive. Very little shrapnel damage, tiny impact impact crater, not enough blast damage.
My guess would be the same as those of the IDF side. It looks like a rocket impact.
Now whose rocket was it? I don’t have the means or time to do a trajectory analysis, as to have anything precise enough it would require a second geolocated viewpoint (to be able to triangulate a likely launch position). The best I could do is to determine a general direction for its origin.
True enough, an investigation is needed.
I just don’t trust the israelis or the US when it comes to these investigations. The israelis have a truly awful track record of outright lying and making stuff up, and the US affirms whatever they say no matter what.