• TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Any thoughts on how I could incorporate that for a better back of the napkin?

    (Also, that number is only consider that the number presented was based on 7 independent events, not 34)

    • bloodfoot@programming.dev
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      1 year ago

      If we stick with your 1/44 assumption, we can then assume 50% chance that the following day will also be a record setting day (probably too low still but the math is easier). Your one week estimate would be (1/44)*(1/2)^6.